Saturday, May 31, 2014

Jim Cramer's 'Mad Money' Recap: Feeling Good About the Fed

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NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Those who complain about the markets are wearing their political hats and not their financial ones, Jim Cramer said on "Mad Money" Thursday as he opined on the deluge of criticism towards Ben Bernanke's latest moves. Cramer said in the end, the Federal Reserve has made him feel better about the future, and that's all that matters.

With the very real possibility of a 1995-style government shutdown upon us, Cramer said it's only logical the Fed would not introduce tapering ahead of what could become a very debilitating economic event. Every past government shutdown has been met with big market declines, and there's no reason to think this time it will be any different. The economy is already slowing, as evidenced by weakened outlooks from just about every major retailer this quarter.

Cramer noted that some critics say the Fed has lost its credibility, but that's just not the case -- just a few words from Chairman Bernanke were able to shave a quarter point off of interest rates in a single afternoon. There are certainly anomalies in the market, Cramer admitted, with stocks like Tesla (TSLA) and Pandora (P) moving on little or no news. But those are rare cases, and even these high fliers will offer little protection once Washington starts its wrangling again. Executive Decision: Alex Smith In the "Executive Decision" segment, Cramer spoke with Alex Smith, president and CEO of Pier 1 Imports (PIR), the home goods retailer who disappointed Wall Street with a 4-cents-a-share earnings miss on weaker-than-expected revenue, news that sent Pier 1 shares 14% lower. Smith said he's definitely not happy with Pier 1's performance in the quarter, but he's not blaming the macroeconomic environment for the shortcomings. Instead, Smith admitted he made some mistakes such as focusing too much on his company's online business and failing to drive enough shoppers into its 1,000 retail locations. In retrospect, Smith said the over-excitement towards online was not a smart decision. Going forward, Smith said that the focus will return to Pier 1's retail stores, with TV ad spending picking up between now and the end of the year. With a new crop of holiday ads, Smith said the company is very optimistic about the upcoming holiday season.

Cramer remains bullish on Pier 1, saying that if anyone can buck the slowing macro picture, it should be Pier 1 with its traditionally flawless execution. Anointed Stocks, Part 4

In the next installment of his "Anointed Stock" series of high fliers that should surge going into the end of the year, Cramer turned his sights on a mix of industrial stocks, including Delta Airlines (DAL), Pitney Bowes (PBI), Boeing (BA), Northrop Grumman (NOC) and Lockheed Martin (LMT).

Cramer said the rally in Delta is all about consolidation in the industry. With fewer players in the market, Delta is on track to have its most profitable year ever, thanks to lower fuel costs and more fuel efficient planes. Delta trades at a scant eight times earnings.

Meanwhile, Pitney Bowes is all about pivoting from its legacy snail mail processing business into digital commerce and logistical services. The company's new management team is breathing new life into the company, said Cramer, although he would not be a buyer of the stock at these levels. Then there's Boeing, a perennial Cramer fave. Cramer said despite woes with its new Dreamliner, Boeing remains one of the only companies that can offer a 20-year outlook on its business. As for Northrop and Lockheed, they're both laughing in the face of the sequester as they transform into lean, mean, diversified entities that can weather no matter what Washington may throw their way. Cramer said that Delta, Boeing, Lockheed and Northrop should all be strong performers throwout the rest of the year as money managers pile in to prove they, too, own the best stocks in each sector. Lightning Round In the Lightning Round, Cramer was bullish on Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL), Take-Two Interactive (TTWO), Celldex Therapeutics (CLDX) and ExOne (XONE). Cramer was bearish on KeyCorp (KEY). Executive Decision: Patti Hart In his second "Executive Decision" segment, Cramer spoke with Patti Hart, CEO of International Game Technology (IGT), the casino game maker that's moving aggressively into the fledgling online gaming market here in the U.S. Hart said IGT is very excited about New Jersey becoming the first U.S. state to allow online gaming and she's ready to bring her company's 10 years of experience outside the U.S. to the domestic market. Hart said everyone wins with online gambling as states and game providers all get a piece of the revenue pie. Online gambling will be open only to legal residents of New Jersey, but Hart said she expects Nevada and other states to follow suit. IGT is also profiting from its acquisition of Double Down, the social casino platform that's available on Facebook (FB). Hart said the revenue from social gambling are growing swiftly, as users are responding to the authentic casino gaming experience that only IGT can provide. In the brick and mortar casinos around the globe, IGT is also hitting it big, thanks to branded content that ties into hit movies and TV show, like "Wheel of Fortune," which remains IGT's hottest game, even after many many years. Cramer told viewers to study the research on IGT, much of which views the company only as a casino tie-in and ignores the many opportunities the company has in both social and online gambling. No Huddle Offense In his "No Huddle Offense" segment, Cramer said just that because the markets may be confused about what to do next doesn't mean that you have to be. Yesterday's Fed actions have paved the way for things to get better in 2014, but the markets aren't likely to overlook a weak fourth quarter in 2013, Cramer warned. That's why stocks from ConAgra (CAG) to McDonald's (MCD) all fell on yesterdays news, along with the homebuilders, the regional banks and the insurance stocks. In times like these, investors need to focus on the stocks that the Fed doesn't control, including United Technologies (UTX), which is levered to China, or Boeing, which is tied to a global uptick in aerospace. Many investors may not have been around long enough to have experienced a situation like this before, Cramer concluded. Fortunately, he has, which is why investors need to relax, play it safe and wait for the Fed's action to make a difference in 2014. To watch replays of Cramer's video segments, visit the Mad Money page on CNBC. To sign up for Jim Cramer's free Booyah! newsletter with all of his latest articles and videos please click here. -- Written by Scott Rutt in Washington, D.C. To email Scott about this article, click here: Scott Rutt Follow Scott on Twitter @ScottRutt or get updates on Facebook, ScottRuttDC

At the time of publication, Cramer's Action Alerts PLUS had a position in FB and KEY. Jim Cramer, host of the CNBC television program "Mad Money," is a Markets Commentator for TheStreet.com, Inc., and CNBC, and a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. All opinions expressed by Mr. Cramer on "Mad Money" are his own and do not reflect the opinions of TheStreet.com or its affiliates, or CNBC, NBC Universal or their parent company or affiliates. Mr. Cramer's opinions are based upon information he considers to be reliable, but neither TheStreet.com, nor CNBC, nor either of their affiliates and/or subsidiaries warrant its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Mr. Cramer's statements are based on his opinions at the time statements are made, and are subject to change without notice. No part of Mr. Cramer's compensation from CNBC or TheStreet.com is related to the specific opinions expressed by him on "Mad Money." None of the information contained in "Mad Money" constitutes a recommendation by Mr. Cramer, TheStreet.com or CNBC that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. You must make your own independent decisions regarding any security, portfolio of securities, transaction, or investment strategy mentioned on the program. Mr. Cramer's past results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Neither Mr. Cramer, nor TheStreet.com, nor CNBC guarantees any specific outcome or profit, and you should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investments discussed on the program. The strategy or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value and you may get back less than you invested. Before acting on any information contained in the program, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser. Some of the stocks mentioned by Mr. Cramer on "Mad Money" are held in Mr. Cramer's Action Alerts PLUS Portfolio. When that is the case, appropriate disclosure is made on the program and in the "Mad Money" recap available on TheStreet.com. The Action Alerts PLUS Portfolio contains all of Mr. Cramer's personal investments in publicly-traded equity securities only, and does not include any mutual fund holdings or other institutionally managed assets, private equity investments, or his holdings in TheStreet.com, Inc. Since March 2005, the Action Alerts PLUS Portfolio has been held by a Trust, the realized profits from which have been pledged to charity. Mr. Cramer retains full investment discretion with respect to all securities contained in the Trust. Mr. Cramer is subject to certain trading restrictions, and must hold all securities in the Action Alerts PLUS Portfolio for at least one month, and is not permitted to buy or sell any security he has spoken about on television or on his radio program for five days following the broadcast.

Top 10 High Tech Stocks For 2015

Top 10 High Tech Stocks For 2015: Winmark Corporation(WINA)

Winmark Corporation operates as a franchisor of four retail store concepts that buy, sell, trade, and consign merchandise. The company franchises retail stores under the ?Plato?s Closet? name that sell and buy used clothing and accessories geared toward the teenage and young adult market; and under the ?Play It Again Sports? name, which sell, buy, trade, and consign used and new sporting goods, equipment, and accessories for various athletic activities, including hockey, wheeled sports, fitness, ski/snowboard, golf, and baseball/softball. It engages in franchising ?Once Upon A Child? branded retail stores that sell and buy used and new children?s clothing, toys, furniture, equipment, and accessories; and ?Music Go Round? branded retail stores that sell, buy, trade, and consign used and new musical instruments, speakers, amplifiers, music-related electronics, and related accessories for parents of children who play musical instruments, as well as for professional and amateu r musicians. In addition, the company operates a middle-market equipment leasing business focusing on technology-based assets to serve large and medium-sized businesses; and a small-ticket financing business to serve small businesses. Further, it offers management services to Tomsten, Inc. As of September 24, 2011, the company had 923 franchises in operation. Winmark Corporation was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Michael Lewis]

    One of my favorite businesses, Winmark (NASDAQ: WINA  ) , reported earnings this week. Earnings boosted 14% compared to the prior year's first quarter. Though the company continues to franchise its range of secondhand stores, the most compelling growth comes from the leasing division, which saw revenues jump by 30%. The company is underfollowed yet has been paying attractive special dividends while giving investors two-year capital appreci! ation of roughly 50%. As the company moves forward and pushes its leasing business to new heights, should you get in now?

  • source from Top Penny Stocks For 2015:http://www.seekpennystocks.com/top-10-high-tech-stocks-for-2015.html

Friday, May 30, 2014

15 Oil and Gas Stocks to Sell Now

RSS Logo Portfolio Grader Popular Posts: 15 Oil and Gas Stocks to Sell Now10 Best “Strong Buy” Stocks — EQM DAL BITA and more7 Biotechnology Stocks to Buy Now Recent Posts: Biggest Movers in Services Stocks Now – BIG GCO TKC ANN Hottest Basic Materials Stocks Now – ABX CIR IFF WIRE Biggest Movers in Consumer Cyclical Stocks Now – KORS TSLA TM GT View All Posts

The overall ratings of 15 oil and gas stocks are down on Portfolio Grader this week. Each of these rates a “D” (“sell”) or “F” overall (“strong sell”).

Crescent Point Energy Corp.’s () rating falls this week to an F (“strong sell”), down from last week’s D (“sell”). In Portfolio Grader’s specific subcategories of Earnings Revisions, Earnings Surprise, Cash Flow and Margin Growth, CPG also gets F’s. Shares of the stock have been changing hands at an unusually rapid pace, twice the rate of the week prior. The stock’s trailing PE Ratio is 109.50. .

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Golar LNG Partners’ () rating falls to a D (“sell”) this week, down from C (“hold”) the week prior. Golar LNG Partners owns floating storage and regasification units and liquefied natural gas carriers. Shares of the stock have been trading at an exceptionally rapid pace, up fourfold from the week prior. .

Slipping from a D to an F rating, Cosan Limited Class A () takes a hit this week. Cosan is a fully integrated company in the renewable energy and infrastructure segments in Brazil. The stock gets F’s in Cash Flow and Margin Growth. Shares of the stock have been changing hands at an unusually rapid pace, up 589.9% from the week prior. The stock currently has a trailing PE Ratio of 38.60. .

Goodrich Petroleum Corporation () experiences a ratings drop this week, going from last week’s C to a D. Goodrich Petroleum explores, develops, produces and acquires oil and natural gas properties. The stock receives F’s in Earnings Growth, Earnings Revisions, Equity and Cash Flow. As of May 30, 2014, 33.1% of outstanding Goodrich Petroleum Corporation shares were held short. Shares of the stock are being traded at a very rapid pace, up 658.2% from the week prior. .

The rating of EXCO Resources, Inc. () declines this week from a D to an F. EXCO Resources is an oil and natural gas company involved in the exploration, exploitation, development and production of onshore North American oil and natural gas properties. The stock gets F’s in Earnings Surprise, Equity and Cash Flow. As of May 30, 2014, 12% of outstanding EXCO Resources, Inc. shares were held short. .

Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. () earns an F this week, moving down from last week’s grade of D. Calumet Specialty Products produces hydrocarbon products in North America. The stock receives F’s in Earnings Growth, Earnings Momentum and Earnings Revisions. Cash Flow and Margin Growth also get F’s. .

Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. () earns a D this week, falling from last week’s grade of C. Plains All American Pipeline is involved in interstate and intrastate crude oil pipeline transportation and crude oil terminalling storage activities. Shares of the stock have been trading at an exceptionally rapid pace, up threefold from the week prior. .

TransCanada Corporation’s () rating weakens this week, dropping to an F versus last week’s D. TransCanada develops and operates energy infrastructures, including natural gas pipelines. Shares of the stock have been changing hands at an unusually rapid pace, three times the rate of the week prior. The trailing PE Ratio for the stock is 29.80. .

This is a rough week for Enbridge (). The company’s rating falls to F from the previous week’s D. Enbridge is in the business of transportation and distribution of crude oil and natural gas primarily in Canada and the United States. The stock gets F’s in Earnings Growth, Earnings Momentum and Cash Flow. Trade volume is up 615% from the previous week. The stock has a trailing PE Ratio of 69.70. .

This week, StealthGas () drops from a C to a D rating. StealthGas offers marine transport services for liquefied petroleum gas producers and users. In Earnings Growth, Earnings Revisions, Earnings Surprise and Cash Flow the stock gets F’s. .

Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. Sponsored ADR () gets weaker ratings this week as last week’s D drops to an F. Ultrapar Participacoes is engaged in the fuel distribution and chemical businesses in Brazil. Shares of the stock have been trading at an exceptionally rapid pace, up twofold from the week prior. .

This week, Gevo’s () rating worsens to an F from the company’s D rating a week ago. Gevo operates as a technology development company for biobutanol. The stock gets F’s in Equity, Cash Flow and Sales Growth. As of May 30, 2014, 11.7% of outstanding Gevo shares were held short. Trade volume is up 1155.7% from the previous week. .

Slipping from a C to a D rating, PDC Energy () takes a hit this week. PDC Energy is an oil and gas company with drilling and production operations in the Rocky Mountains, the Appalachian Basin and Michigan. The stock gets F’s in Earnings Revisions and Cash Flow. As of May 30, 2014, 11.5% of outstanding PDC Energy shares were held short. .

This week, Chevron Corporation’s () rating worsens to an F from the company’s D rating a week ago. Chevron is an integrated energy company with operations in countries located around the world. Shares of the stock have been changing hands at an unusually rapid pace, four times the rate of the week prior. .

This is a rough week for Kinder Morgan, Inc. Class P (). The company’s rating falls to F from the previous week’s D. Kinder Morgan is a pipeline transportation and energy storage company. The stock currently has a trailing PE Ratio of 29.30. .

Louis Navellier’s proprietary Portfolio Grader stock ranking system assesses roughly 5,000 companies every week based on a number of fundamental and quantitative measures. Stocks are given a letter grade based on their results — with A being “strong buy,” and F being “strong sell.” Explore the tool here.

Thursday, May 29, 2014

Top 10 Japanese Stocks To Own Right Now

Top 10 Japanese Stocks To Own Right Now: Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc.(EGLE)

Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. engages in the ocean transportation of bulk cargoes in the dry bulk industry. The company primarily transports iron ore, coal, grain, cement, and fertilizer along worldwide shipping routes. As of December 31, 2009, it owned and operated a fleet of 27 oceangoing vessels with a combined carrying capacity of 1,412,535 deadweight tons. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By John Del, Vecchio,]

    Shape up or ship out
    The two companies above have done a relatively great job at staying proactive during a troubled time, and Eagle Bulk Shipping (NASDAQ: EGLE  ) is doing its best to follow suit. After putting up very strong earnings last quarter, reporting $72.2 million net revenue, compared with $52.6 million for the same quarter last year, Eagle looks to be on the right track.

  • source from Top Penny Stocks For 2015:http://www.seekpennystocks.com/top-10-japanese-stocks-to-own-right-now.html

Top 10 Oil Service Companies To Own In Right Now

Top 10 Oil Service Companies To Own In Right Now: Tetra Tech Inc.(TTEK)

Tetra Tech Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides consulting, engineering, program management, construction management, and technical services for water, natural resources, environment, infrastructure, and energy sectors. The company operates in four segments: Engineering and Consulting Services (ECS), Technical Support Services (TSS), Engineering and Architecture Services (EAS), Remediation and Construction Management (RCM). The ECS segment offers front-end science, consulting engineering, and project management services in the areas of surface water management, groundwater, waste management, mining and geotechnical sciences, arctic engineering, industrial processes, and information technology. The TSS segment provides management consulting and strategic direction in the areas of environmental assessments/hazardous waste management, climate change, international development/stabilization, energy services, and technical government staffing services. The EAS segment offers engineering and architecture design services, including leadership in energy and environmental design (LEED) and sustainability services, together with technical and program administration services for projects related to water infrastructure, buildings, and transportation and facilities. The RCM segment provides environmental remediation, infrastructure development, and alternative energy services. The company offers its services to the U.S. federal, state, and local government agencies, as well as to commercial and international clients. Tetra Tech, Inc. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Pasadena, California.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Rich Smith]

    The U.S. Department of Defense announced the award of 10 separate contracts Thursday, worth a bit over $340 million in aggregate value. Boeing and Raytheon claimed about one third of the money on offer, apiece. As for other companies participating in Pentago! n funding, these included the following:

  • [By Canadian Value]

    Position % of Fund Assets 1) First American Financial Corp. (FAF) 7.0% 2) Apple, Inc. (AAPL) 6.5% 3) Coinstar, Inc. (CSTR) 4.8% 4) EMC Corp. (EMC) 4.4% 5) Coach, Inc. (COH) 4.4% 6) Kohl's Corp. (KSS) 4.1% 7) Blucora, Inc. (BCOR) 4.0% 8) Tetra Tech, Inc. (TTEK) 3.1% 9) OM Group, Inc. (OMG) 3.0% 10) American International Group, Inc. (AIG) 2.8% TOTAL 44.1% One area that we believe still offers some value in the market is in high quality, largecap technology stocks that may be momentarily outoffavor as they transition from rapid growth to slower growth. In particular, we become interested when that transition is also accompanied by a change in capital allocation policies designed to return more cash to shareholders in the form of dividends and share repurchases. We believe that Apple and EMC are two of the absolute highest quality technology businesses in the world and both have recently announced very material, shareholder friendly changes to how they will alloc ate capital.

  • [By Ben Levisohn]

    URS Corp, which competes with the likes of Fluor (FLR), Jacobs Engineering (JEC) and Tetra Tech (TTEK), said it would earn between $3.20 and $3.30 a share in 2013–the previous range had been between $4.10 and $4.25 a share–and also offered guidance for 2014 that was well below analyst forecasts. On the plus side, URS said it would buy its shares back at a faster pace than previously announced.

  • source from Top Penny Stocks For 2015:http://www.seekpennystocks.com/top-10-oil-service-companies-to-own-in-right-now.html

Wednesday, May 28, 2014

ConAgra’s 6% Drop: Reason for Hope?

ConAgra’s (CAG) is supposed to make things people want to eat. Instead, the market is eating the food company’s lunch today following disappointing guidance.

REUTERS

The Wall Street Journal reports:

ConAgra Foods Inc. cut its full-year earnings outlook, as the packaged-foods company said fiscal first-quarter earnings were softer than expected, especially in its consumer foods segment.

The company now expects full-year adjusted earnings to range from $2.34 to $2.38 a share, down from its prior view of about $2.40.

First-quarter earnings were 33 cents a share, or 37 cents excluding certain items. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters most recently expected 45 cents a share.

Citigroup’s David Driscoll still has hope for ConAgra’s shares. He writes:

…while ConAgra is off to a disappointing start to F1Q14, we believe that overall US food volumes for the industry and ConAgra are at the cusp of a positive turnaround, in conjunction with the large US crop expected this fall. With ConAgra shares currently trading at 13.5x at the mid-point of management's new F2014 EPS range, we believe that most of the disappointment surrounding today's announcement is likely in the stock….We see good upside in ConAgra shares going forward, as Consumer Food trends are expected to
strengthen, and as Q1 weakness appears to be more macro driven versus a company-specific issue. This puts Kraft (KRFT) under the most scrutiny in our group.

S&P Capital IQ’s Tom Graves concurs:

In light of disappointing EPS guidance from the company, we are lowering our 12-month target price to $38 from $42. Before special items, we are reducing our FY 14 (May) EPS estimate to $2.38 from $2.43, and FY 15′s by $0.08 to $2.62…In FY 14, we expect CAG’s Ralcorp acquisition to be the primary EPS growth driver. We see the stock at an attractive P/E discount to the food group.

Most food producers in the S&P 500 have dropped today. Kraft is off 2.2% at $53.05, Campbell Soup (CPB) has fallen 2% to $41.15 and Kellogg (K) has dropped 1.4% to $59.40.  J.M. Smucker (SJM) has gained 0.4% to $108.53.

Tuesday, May 27, 2014

PIMCO Brings Back McCulley

PIMCO said Monday that it has rehired Paul McCulley to serve as a managing director and take on a new role as the group’s chief economist. McCulley, who worked for the firm from 1990 to 1992 and 1999 to 2010, also will be a member of PIMCO’s Investment Committee and will report directly to founder and Chief Investment Officer Bill Gross.

“Paul is an experienced and respected thought leader on macroeconomic issues and central banks, and he will be an important contributor to our investment process,” Gross said in a press release.

PIMCO — which lost its then-CEO and co-CIO Mohamed El-Erian earlier this year — could benefit from both new leadership and new investor interest. The bond shop had net outflows of $5.5 billion last month, according to Morningstar, bringing its year-to-date outflows to some $21 billion and its 12-month outflows to $80 billion.

(Since El-Erian's departure in January, PIMCO has tapped Doug Hodge as its CEO and appointed six deputy chief investment officers.)

McCulley will not manage client portfolios or serve as a portfolio manager, but he will spend up to 100 days per year working in PIMCO offices around the world. The economist also plans to dedicate some time to non-PIMCO activities, namely leading the Morgan le Fay Dreams Foundation.

McCulley first joined PIMCO in 1990 as an account manager. He left two years later to become chief economist for the Americas for UBS. In 1999, he returned to PIMCO to work as a portfolio manager; he later became the head of the firm’s short-term desk and a member of the Investment Committee.

Over the past three years, the economist, 57, has been chair of the Global Society of Fellows at the Global Interdependence Center, and has published two papers on monetary and central bank policy.

McCulley is known for coining the term “shadow banking system” as a reference for nonbank financial intermediaries that provide similar services and had a role in the global financial crisis. He also drew attention to the concept of the “Minsky Moment,” a sudden major collapse of asset values.

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"I look forward to working side by side with Bill as economic counselor and interacting with the deputy CIOs,” McCulley said in a statement. “I anticipate writing frequent scholarly essays, as well maintaining a robust calendar of speaking engagements. PIMCO will always be Camelot to me."

 

Monday, May 26, 2014

5 Toxic Stocks You Should Sell

BALTIMORE (Stockpickr) -- Don't be fooled by last week's bounce -- some stocks are still looking toxic right now.

Despite a big bounce last Wednesday, the S&P 500 is actually down 0.14% since the Fed announced that the taper caper was off. If the end to QE was really priced into the market, as so many said, then stocks sure aren't showing it. While the broad market still looks bullish overall, owning weak individual names is still a big liability in this market.

That's why we're taking a closer look at five "toxic" stocks you should sell today. Now. To be fair, the companies I'm talking about today aren't exactly "junk."

By that, I mean they're not next up in line at bankruptcy court. But that's frankly irrelevant; from a technical analysis standpoint, they're some of the worst positioned names out there right now. For that reason, fundamental investors need to decide how long they're willing to take the pain if they want to hold onto these firms this summer. And for investors looking to buy one of these positions, it makes sense to wait for more favorable technical conditions (and a lower share price) before piling in.

For the unfamiliar, technical analysis is a way for investors to quantify qualitative factors, such as investor psychology, based on a stock's price action and trends. Once the domain of cloistered trading teams on Wall Street, technicals can help top traders make consistently profitable trades and can aid fundamental investors in better planning their stock execution.

So without further ado, let's take a look at five toxic stocks you should be unloading.

Campus Crest Communities

2013 is panning out to be a rough year for Campus Crest Communities (CCG) -- shares of the small-cap student housing REIT have slid 12.7% since the calendar flipped over to January. While that sounds bad enough as it is, it's actually 31% underperformance vs. the S&P 500. And a quick glance at the chart makes it pretty clear to see why.

CCG is stuck in a textbook downtrend right now, bouncing between trendline resisatnce to the upside and a parallel support level below. You don't have to be an expert technical analyst to figure out where CCG's high probability price action is from here; it's down. Trendline resistance has acted as a ceiling for shares on the last four tests in 2013 – and with shares hitting their head on that resistance level this week, now's the optimal time to sell (or short) this REIT.

If you're looking for an opportunity to buy CCG, you could be in for a long wait. But the 50-day moving average has been a pretty good proxy for resistance since the start of the summer. I'd recommend waiting for that line to get broken before even thinking about doing anything but selling this stock. Until then, it's toxic.

Nissan Motor

Nissan Motors (NSANY) has fared somewhat better this year -- at least the Japanese automaker is up year-to-date. But Nissan has still significantly underperformed the S&P since the start of the year -- and it's underperformed Japan's Nikkei 225 index by a much larger margin.

Now Nissan looks likely to drop. Here's why.

Nissan is currently forming a descending triangle pattern, a bearish setup that's formed by downtrending resistance above shares and horizontal support to the downside at $20. Basically, as Nissan bounces in between those two technical levels, it's getting squeezed closer and closer to a breakdown below that $20 support line. When that happens, look out below.

The setup in Nissan isn't exactly textbook. This stock spent the preceding months before the descending triangle pattern consolidating sideways, rather than slipping lower. But that doesn't change the trading implications of Nissan right now. If shares can't catch a bid at $20, it's time to sell.

L Brands

Retail stocks have turned out some strong performance so far this year, and L Brands (LTD) has been no exception -- the $17 billion specialty retail name is up more than 26% since the calendar flipped over to January. But that's all in the past. Now, LTD looks "toppy."

L Brands is currently forming a double top, a price setup that's formed by two swing highs that peak at the same level. Those two tops happened in early August and then again in the middle of this month. A move through $56 is the signal that it's time to be a seller in LTD.

Whenever you're looking at any technical price pattern, it's critical to think in terms of those buyers and sellers. Double tops, triangles, and other pattern names are a good quick way to explain what's going on in a stock, but they're not the reason it's tradable. Instead, it all comes down to supply and demand for shares.

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That support level at $75 is a price where there had been an excess of demand of shares; in other words, it's a place where buyers were more eager to step in and buy shares at a lower price than sellers were to sell. That's what makes a breakdown below $75 so significant -- the move would indicate that sellers are finally strong enough to absorb all of the excess demand above that price level. That's why it makes sense to wait for that indication before you sell.

JPMorgan Chase

Last up is JPMorgan Chase (JPM), a stock that's showing traders a textbook reversal pattern right now. Financial sector stocks have benefitted in a big way from this rally all the way up. After all, in many ways, they're a lot like a leveraged bet on stocks. But a head and shoulders top pattern is decoupling JPM's price action from that of the broad market this month.

The head and shoulders pattern is a bearish reversal setup that indicates exhaustion among buyers. It's formed by two swing highs that top out around the same level (the shoulders), separated by a bigger peak called the head; the sell signal comes on the breakdown below the pattern's "neckline" level, which is right above $50 at the moment for JPM. That's significant for a couple of reasons: It's a round number that's sure to get more attention from investors, and it's a price that acted as resistance on the way up back in March.

If you think that the head and shoulders is too popular to be worth trading, the research suggests otherwise: a recent academic study conducted by the Federal Reserve Board of New York found that the results of 10,000 computer-simulated head-and-shoulders trades resulted in "profits [that] would have been both statistically and economically significant." If you decide to short JPM on a move below $50, I'd still recommend keeping a protective stop at $54.

To see this week's trades in action, check out the Technical Setups for the Week portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Jonas Elmerraji in Baltimore.

Top 5 Media Companies To Own For 2015

Top 5 Media Compan ies To Own For 2015: Cablevision Systems Corporation (CVC)

Cablevision Systems Corporation provides telecommunications and media services. It operates in two segments, Telecommunications Services and Other. The Telecommunications Services segment is involved in television business, including video, high-speed data, and VoIP operations, as well as the provision of commercial data and voice services. The Other segment offers Newsday, a daily newspaper; amNewYork, a free daily newspaper; and Star Community Publishing, a group of weekly shopper publications; and newsday.com and exploreLI.com. This segment also engages in motion picture theatre business, Clearview Cinemas; provision of the News 12 Networks, a regional news programming services; and the MSG Varsity network, a network covering high school sports and activities, and other local programs, as well as cable television advertising. Cablevision Systems Corporation was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Bethpage, New York.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Anna Prior]

    Cablevision Systems Corp.(CVC) said it swung to a profit in the first quarter, driven by higher rates and advertising sales that boosted its cable revenue.

  • [By WWW.DAILYFINANCE.COM]

    'Interconnection' The better access that Netflix is getting from Comcast is known as "interconnection," a term referring to digital content's journey to an Internet service provider's gates. That path technically isn't covered by the current definition of Net neutrality, which refers to how service providers treat digital content once it's inside the gates. Comcast has promised to honor the previous rules governing Net neutrality through 2018. In a blog post last month, Hastings argued that future Net neutrality guidelines should be expanded to address interconnection issues, too. "Without strong Net neutrality, big ISPs can demand pote! ntially escalating fees for the interconnection required to deliver high quality service," Hastings wrote. "The big ISPs can make these demands -- driving up costs and prices for everyone else -- because of their market position." Google's YouTube video site and many other websites were paying interconnection fees to Comcast before Netflix struck its own deal with the carrier. Even with the March improvements, Comcast's delivery of Netflix content lags behind several other major service providers. Cablevision (CVC), Cox, Suddenlink and Charter (CHTR) each delivered Netflix video at higher speeds than Comcast in March, according to Monday's breakdown. Netflix has interconnection deals with Cablevision, Cox and Suddenlink, although those arrangements don't require Netflix to pay fees.

  • [By Will Ashworth]

    If other cable companies — like Charter Communications (CHTR), Cablevision (CVC) and Cox Communications — decide to merge in order to keep pace with Comcast, content providers could be under the gun once more.

  • source from Top Stocks Blog:http://www.topstocksblog.com/top-5-media-companies-to-own-for-2015.html

Sunday, May 25, 2014

Hot Chemical Companies To Buy For 2015

Hot Chemical Companies To Buy For 2015: Rentech Inc (RTK)

Rentech, Inc. (Rentech), incorporated in 1981, is a provider of clean energy solutions. The Company owns and operates a nitrogen fertilizer plant in East Dubuque, Illinois, that manufactures and sells natural gas-based nitrogen fertilizer products within the corn-belt region in the United States. It is developing energy projects to produce certified synthetic fuels and electric power from carbon-containing materials, such as biomass, waste and fossil resources. Its technologies can produce synthesis gas (syngas) from biomass and waste materials, and convert syngas from its own or other gasification technologies into complex hydrocarbons (the Rentech Process) that are then upgraded into fuels using refining technology that it licenses. In addition to developing projects using these technologies, it is pursuing the licensing of its technologies to developers of projects that are expected to produce fuels and/or power. In May 2011, it acquired majority interest in ClearFuels Technology Inc. In May 2013, Rentech Inc acquired the entire share capital of Fulghum Fibres Inc. In August 2013, Rentech Inc announced that a subsidiary of the Company closed the sale of approximately 450 acres in Natchez, Mississippi to Adams County, Mississippi.

The Rentech Process is a technology based on Fischer-Tropsch (FT) chemistry, which converts syngas that can be produced from a range of biomass, waste and fossil resources into hydrocarbons. These hydrocarbons can be processed and upgraded into synthetic fuels, such as military and commercial jet fuels and low sulfur diesel fuel, as well as waxes and chemicals. Unlike some other alternative transportation fuels, such as ethanol, fuels produced from the Rentech Process can be transported and used in existing infrastructure, including pipelines and engines without blending restrictions. Its technology portfo! lio also includes the Rentech-SilvaGas biomass gasification technology (the Rentech-SilvaGas Tech nology), which enables it to offer integrated technologies t! hat can convert biomass and wastes to syngas and into clean fuels and electric power.

The Rentech Process can produce synthetic diesel fuels (RenDiesel1 fuels), which are clean burning having lower emissions of regulated pollutants, such as nitrogen oxides, sulfur oxides and particulate matter, than traditional petroleum-based diesel fuels. The Rentech Process also can produce synthetic jet fuel (RenJet fuel), which when blended with conventional jet fuel meet jet fuel specifications for military jet fuel and commercial Jet A and Jet A-1 fuels. It is developing a proposed project near Natchez, Mississippi (the Natchez Project) designed to produce approximately 30,000 barrels per day of synthetic fuels and chemicals and approximately 120 megawatts of power. It is evaluating alternative configurations for the Natchez site, which would initially be smaller in scale. The alternate configurations may use various feed-stocks alone or in various combinations, and incl ude proportions of waxes and chemicals as products.

The Company owns, through its wholly owned subsidiary, Rentech Energy Midwest Corporation (REMC), a nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing plant that uses natural gas as its feedstock to produce syngas and then nitrogen fertilizer products. The products, the Company can produce include renewable synthetic diesel and jet fuels, naphtha and power from biomass resources; synthetic diesel and jet fuels, naphtha and power from fossil or fossil and biomass resources, and paraffinic waxes, solvents and specialty chemicals.

The Company competes with ExxonMobil, the Royal Dutch/Shell group, Statoil, BP and Sasol.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Rich Duprey]

    Alternative energy specialist Rentech  (NASDAQ: RTK  )  will be buying back up to $25 million worth of company stock ! through t! he rest of the year, the board of directors announced Monday.

  • [By Travis Hoium]

    What: Shares of fertilizer and renewable energy company Rentech (NASDAQ: RTK  ) jumped 17% today after the company announced an acquisition.

  • [By Robert Rapier] While the MLP space is dominated by the oil and gas sector, in last week’s article we began to explore some of the more exotic master limited partnership offerings. This week we continue our exploration of nontraditional MLPs by looking at the partnerships supplying fertilizer.

    Rentech (Nasdaq: RTK) has been around for more than a decade, and it has shifted strategies several times. Full disclosure: Rentech’s Chief Technology Officer Harold Wright is a former manager of mine when we were both at ConocoPhillips, and I have visited Rentech’s facility in Commerce City, Colorado.

    For most of Rentech’s existence, the company has sought to commercialize alternative fuels. At one time it had ambitions to build a large coal-to-liquids (CTL) plant, but federal legislation ultimately nudged it instead into the biomass-to-liquids (BTL) space. The company did build a BTL demonstration plant, but ultimately shut it down and has now refocused its effor ts on becoming “one of the largest wood processing companies in the world.”

    During its interesting journey as a company, Rentech acquired two ammonia nitrogen fertilizer facilities, which turned out to be a profit center that funded the alternative energy research. In November 2011, Rentech spun off this fertilizer business into an MLP called Rentech Nitrogen Partners LP (NYSE: RNF).

    In the months leading to the spin-off, RTK’s market capitalization was about $200 million. Rentech maintained 60 percent ownership of RNF, and three months after the spin-off RTK’s market cap had risen to $400 million, while investors had bid RNF up to $1 billion. Interestingly, RTK’s share of RNF was worth more th! an RTK&rs! quo;s entire market cap, a situation that persists. The market currently values Rentech at $482 million, while the valuation of Rentech Nitrogen Partners makes RTK’s 60 percent stake in RNF worth slightly more than $600 million — another illu
  • source from Top Stocks Blog:http://www.topstocksblog.com/hot-chemical-companies-to-buy-for-2015.html

Saturday, May 24, 2014

5 Toxic Stocks to Sell Now

BALTIMORE (Stockpickr) -- On the off chance you're just checking in your portfolio after sitting out of the market for the last five months, you haven't missed much.

>>5 Stocks Under $10 Set to Soar

Since the calendar flipped to January, the S&P 500 has climbed a whopping 2.4%. Breakneck gains those aren't, particularly when compared to the nonstop rally of 2013. But even those paltry returns are wishful thinking for most investors; while the big indices are sitting just a few points shy of all-time highs, the average stock in the S&P has pulled back double-digits from their highs.

I'm not exaggerating when I say that the biggest gains this year haven't come from picking the right stocks. They've come from avoiding the wrong ones.

And as summer approaches, a growing list of names is looking very wrong. Today, I'll show you five big "toxic stocks" you need to unload before the next leg down.

>>5 Dividend Stocks Ready to Pay You More in 2014

Just to be clear, the companies I'm talking about today aren't exactly junk. By that, I mean they're not next up in line at bankruptcy court. But that's frankly irrelevant; from a technical analysis standpoint, sellers are shoving around these toxic stocks right now. For that reason, fundamental investors need to decide how long they're willing to take the pain if they want to hold onto these firms in the weeks and months ahead. And for investors looking to buy one of these positions, it makes sense to wait for more favorable technical conditions (and a lower share price) before piling in.

For the unfamiliar, technical analysis is a way for investors to quantify qualitative factors, such as investor psychology, based on a stock's price action and trends. Once the domain of cloistered trading teams on Wall Street, technicals can help top traders make consistently profitable trades and can aid fundamental investors in better planning their stock execution.

>>5 Stocks Insiders Love Right Now

So without further ado, let's take a look at five "toxic stocks" you should be unloading.

Lockheed Martin


Up first is defense contracting giant Lockheed Martin (LMT), a $52 billion name that's been rallying hard for the last year. Over the trailing 12 months, Lockheed is up more than 52%. But the buying frenzy in LMT could be coming to an end thanks to a classic reversal pattern that's been forming in shares since the middle of February.

Lockheed Martin is currently forming a double top, a bearish reversal pattern that looks just like it sounds. The double top is formed by a pair of swing highs that max out at approximately the same price level. The sell signal comes when the trough that separates the two highs gets violated. For LMT, that breakdown level is right at $155. If $155 gets taken out, it's time to be a seller.

Momentum, measured by 14-day RSI, provides some foreshadowing for downside in LMT. While price was steady over the two tops in this stock, our momentum gauge failed to do the same. That's a big red flag. Short sellers should keep a protective stop at the 50-day moving average.

Gentex



Mid-cap car component maker Gentex (GNTX) is another name that's looking toxic this week -- only that's nothing new for this stock in 2014. Shares of GNTX have been making their way lower all year, dragged down by weakness in the automotive sector as a whole. But this week, a bearish continuation pattern is pointing to even more downside from here.

GNTX is currently forming a descending triangle, a bearish price setup that's formed by downtrending resistance above shares and horizontal support to the downside at $28.50. Basically, as Gentex bounces in between those two technical levels, shares are getting squeezed closer to a breakdown below that $28.50 price floor; when that happens, we've got our sell signal.

Another indicator, relative strength (not to be confused with RSI), is the side signal that's pointing to downside in GNTX in May. Relative strength has been trending lower since January, indicating that this name isn't just moving lower -- it's also woefully underperforming the broad market in 2014. When $28.50 gets violated, GNTX is a sell.

Thermo Fisher Scientific



You don't have to be an expert technical trader to figure out what's going on in shares of Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) -- a quick glance at the chart should tell you just about everything you need to know about where this $46 billion scientific equipment maker is heading in the near-term.

TMO is currently bouncing its way lower in a textbook downtrending channel. The setup is formed by a pair of parallel trend lines: a resistance line above shares, and a support line below them. Those two lines on the chart provide traders with the high-probability range for Thermo Fisher's shares to stay within. When it comes to trend channels, up is good and down is bad; it's really as simple as that. And as shares bounce off of trend line resistance for a sixth time in this short span, it makes sense to sell the bounce.

Waiting for that move down before clicking "sell" is a critical part of risk management, for two big reasons: Ot's the spot where prices are the highest within the channel, and alternatively it's the spot where you'll get the first indication that the downtrend is ending. Remember, all trend lines do eventually break, but by actually waiting for the bounce to happen first, you're confirming that sellers are still in control before you unload shares of TMO.

Regions Financial



$14 billion banking stock Regions Financial (RF) is another name that looks toxic to your portfolio in May. Shares of RF have spent the last five months establishing a classical head and shoulders top pattern, an indication that this name could have much lower ground ahead of it. And now, Regions' bears are getting a second chance at a low risk entry to bet against shares.

The head and shoulders pattern is a setup that indicates exhaustion among buyers. The setup is formed by two swing highs that top out at approximately the same level (the shoulders), separated by a higher high (the head). The sell signal comes on a move through RF's neckline, which is currently right above $10. That means that the sell signaled in Regions last week.

Since then, shares of RF have pulled back to re-test newfound resistance at that $10 neckline level. While a pullback might look bullish at first, it's actually quite the opposite -- a bounce lower off of that $10 level in the next few sessions serves as confirmation that sellers still outnumber buyers here. If you're looking to short this name, selling the bounce provides a high reward-to-risk scenario.

Northern Trust



Not surprisingly, we're seeing the exact same setup in shares of another banking name: Northern Trust (NTRS). Like Regions, Northern Trust is currently forming a head and shoulders pattern, but the big difference here is that the setup hasn't triggered yet. For NTRS, the sell signal comes on a breakdown below the stock's $58 neckline.

Why the significance at $58? Whenever you're looking at any technical price pattern, it's critical to keep buyers and sellers in mind. Patterns like head and shoulders setups and double tops are a good way to quickly describe what's going on in a stock, but they're not the reason it's tradable. Instead, it all comes down to supply and demand for shares.

That horizontal $58 neckline level in NTRS is the spot where there's previously been an excess of demand for shares; in other words, it's a price where buyers have been more eager to step in and buy shares at a lower price than sellers were to sell. That's what makes a breakdown below support so significant -- the move means that sellers are finally strong enough to absorb all of the excess demand at the at price level.

For the best risk/reward tradeoff, wait for the next move lower before selling Northern Trust.

To see this week's trades in action, check out the Toxic Stocks portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Jonas Elmerraji in Baltimore.


RELATED LINKS:



>>3 Stocks Spiking on Big Volume



>>5 Airline Stocks to Trade for Flyaway Gains in 2014



>>3 Stocks Under $10 Triggering Breakouts

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Jonas Elmerraji, CMT, is a senior market analyst at Agora Financial in Baltimore and a contributor to

TheStreet. Before that, he managed a portfolio of stocks for an investment advisory returned 15% in 2008. He has been featured in Forbes , Investor's Business Daily, and on CNBC.com. Jonas holds a degree in financial economics from UMBC and the Chartered Market Technician designation.

Follow Jonas on Twitter @JonasElmerraji


Friday, May 23, 2014

10 Best Healthcare Equipment Stocks For 2015

10 Best Healthcare Equipment Stocks For 2015: Hanwha SolarOne Co. Ltd.(HSOL)

Hanwha Solarone Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of silicon ingots, silicon wafers, and PV cells and modules. The company also offers mono crystalline and multi crystalline silicon cells; and provides PV module processing services. It sells its products to solar power system integrators and distributors primarily in Germany, Italy, Australia, the United States, the Czech Republic, Spain, and China. The company was formerly known as Solarfun Power Holdings Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Hanwha SolarOne Co., Ltd. in December 2010. Hanwha Solarone Co., Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is based in Qidong, the People?s Republic of China.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Paul Ausick]

    Big Earnings Movers: Hanwha SolarOne Co. (NASDAQ: HSOL) is down 13.9% at $4.36. D.R. Horton Inc. (NYSE: DHI) is up 4.7% at $18.91 on good earnings boosted by land sales.

  • [By Travis Hoium]

    News and notes
    Hanwha SolarOne (NASDAQ: HSOL  ) announced another $100 million in financing this week, this time a term loan from the Export-Import Bank of Korea.  

  • [By Travis Hoium]

    What: Solar stocks are shooting higher again today as the strong run in 2013 continues. LDK Solar (NYSE: LDK  ) , Canadian Solar (NASDAQ: CSIQ  ) , Yingli Green Energy (NYSE: YGE  ) , Hanwha SolarOne (NASDAQ: HSOL  ) , and JinkoSolar (NYSE: JKS  ) led the way, gaining between 10% and 22% today.

  • [By Sean Williams]

    Lights out, China
    China may have its fair share of struggles -- which has caused its strong economy to back off its 30-year average growth rate of 10% -- but when push comes to shove, plenty of investors are still paying close attention to multinational companie! s making investments in China. However, if there were one sector with a gigantic "beware" stamp attached to it, it would be Chinese solar panel producers like Hanwha SolarOne (NASDAQ: HSOL  ) .

  • source from Top Stocks Blog:http://www.topstocksblog.com/10-best-healthcare-equipment-stocks-for-2015.html

Tuesday, May 20, 2014

Asian stocks close mixed; Japan snaps losing streak

HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — Asian stocks ended mixed on Tuesday, with Japan breaking a four-day losing streak.

Japanese stocks rebounded on strong U.S. cues after four days of losses, with the Nikkei Average (JP:NIK)  up 0.5% and the Topix index (JP:I0000)  up 0.3%. The yen (USDJPY)   strengthened versus the dollar, trading at ¥101.371, from ¥101.494 on Monday.

Meanwhile, Australia's benchmark S&P/ASX 200 (AU:XJO)  rose 0.2%, while the Australian dollar (AUDUSD) slightly dropped to 92.65 U.S. cents, from 93.26 U.S. cents late Monday.

Click to Play Thai military declares martial law

Thailand's military has declared martial law, not long after a new caretaker prime minister took over from Yingluck Shinawatra. The WSJ's Ramy Inocencio asks James Hookway if this is a coup.

Hong Kong markets also bounced back from the previous day's drop, as the Hang Seng Index (HK:HSI) settled 0.6% higher. The Shanghai Composite Index (CN:SHCOMP)  moved up 0.2%, after the China Securities Regulatory Commission said it planned to limit the number of IPOs to 100, for the period from June to the end of 2014

Market-movers in Japan included semiconductor manufacturer Renesas Electronics (JP:6723) , up 3.7%, IT service provider Fujitsu (JP:6702) , up 3%, video-game machine maker Nintendo Co. (JP:7974) , up 2.8%, and electronics maker NEC Corp (JP:6701) , up 1.8%.

5 Best Construction Stocks To Own Right Now

In Australia, iron ore producer Fortescue Metals Group (AU:FMG)  recovered 3.9% after a sharp fall on Monday.

In Hong Kong, online major Tencent Holdings (HK:2988)  shot up 4%, computer manufacturer Lenovo Group (HK:0992)  advanced 2%, and telecom giant China Mobile (HK:0941)  gained 1.8%.

However, South Korea (KR:SEU)  and New Zealand markets closed negative on Tuesday, down 0.2% and 0.6% respectively.

Thailand stocks price in martial law

Perhaps not surprisingly, Thailand's benchmark SET index (TH:SET)  ended the morning session 0.8% lower in the wake of the Royal Thai Army's declaration of martial law.

Reuters A Thai soldier takes up a position in front of the Royal Thai Police Sports Club in Bangkok.

The loss comes even as Army chief Gen. Prayuth Chan-ocha sought to assure the nation that this was not a coup. And the loss comes even though this is just the latest chapter in a months-long saga that has seen deadly rioting and the ousting of prime minister Yingluck Shinawatra (a saga the market has largely shrugged off, given that the SET was up 8.6% for the year ahead of Tuesday's open).

The coup of September 2006 — when Yingluck's brother was removed from office — did dent shares a bit, but they recovered in a matter of weeks. And those losses were small compared with the selloff in December of that year (a nearly 15% drop in a single day), when the markets rebelled against capital controls to deal with foreign-exchange issues.

And looking a little farther back into history, charts show that in the weeks after the previous coup in February 1991, stocks actually rose.

Meanwhile, among initial reactions from the analyst community is this comment from Fitch Ratings Asia-Pacific sovereigns chief Andrew Colquhoun:

"The imposition of martial law is not, in itself, negative for Thailand's ratings, although clearly we are keeping the situation under close review. It may even help to break Thailand out of the political deadlock of the past six months."

Colquhoun adds that the key to Thailand's outlook will be the achievement of "a functioning government."

For now, fresh elections are on hold due to the unrest, but we'll see if the army is able to calm the situation enough to get people to the polls.

More MarketWatch news:

Asia Stocks blog: Fifth time looks lucky for Japan

Singapore's economy expands faster than expected

Richest Britons just got a lot richer

Monday, May 19, 2014

A Fast-Growing Fracking Sand MLP With Stunning Growth Potential

America's fracking boom is one of the strongest megatrends in the global economy and offers long-term investors many ways to build immense wealth and income. This article is designed to highlight a new MLP (master limited partnership) whose specialized niche is likely to experience strong growth for many years to come. This growth will secure and grow a generous yield and strong capital gains as well. 

Fracking sand: pick and shovels for the new gold rush
Hydraulic fracturing of shale formations involves high-pressure water breaking apart rock that contains oil and gas. A single well typically cost $4 million to $12 million to drill and so E&P (exploration and production) companies want to make sure to maximize the output of each well.

This is were the use of proppants comes in. These are substances such as sand or ceramics that "prop" open the cracks in the rock and help maximize the flow of oil and gas. The majority of the proppant market is supplied by sand, which is lower cost than ceramics. Which brings me to the opportunity I want to bring to the attention of investors.  

Emerge Energy Services  (NYSE: EMES  ) is a new variable distribution MLP that operates in two segments: fuels and fracking sand. It has no general partner, incentive distribution rights, or minimum quarterly distribution. Instead it pays out 100% of distributable cash flow to its unit holders. Long-term contracts are designed to minimize cash flow variability and prevent the kind of high distribution variability seen in typical variable MLPs (such as refiners or fertilizer partnerships). 

The fuel segments specializes in processing and selling "transmix" fuel. This is a mixture of oil refining products, usually gas and diesel, created in the oil refining process.

This segment generates 85% of revenues for the partnership yet just 24% of operating profits. 

When it comes to Emerge Energy, the growth story is the subsidiary -- Superior Silica Sands. The demand for proppants is expected to increase by about 30% between 2013 and 2016 and Emerge Energy is well positioned to capture a good deal of this growth.

The partnership has total reserves of 108.4 million tons of high quality sand located at sites in northern Texas and Wisconsin. Its annual capacity is 7.6 million tons and one of its key competitive advantages is its superior logistics management. This includes relationships with Canadian National Railway and Union Pacific and a fast growing fleet of railway cars (3,400 cars growing to 5,800 within a year) for transporting its sand to key shale areas across America and Canada from 19 transportation hubs.

The partnership is planning for aggressive expansion with two new mines in Wisconsin (to be completed by the end of 2014) that will cost $110 million but increase capacity by eight to nine million tons of sand/year (112% capacity increase). 

In addition, the MLP is constructing a major new distribution terminal in Sexsmith, Canada (12,000 tons of sand storage capacity) which is to be completed by mid-2014. This new site will serve the growing demand of the booming western Canadian shale region.

The rapid growth of its fracking sand division has allowed Emerge Energy to rapidly grow its distribution since its IPO in May 2013 (from a pro-rated $0.7/unit to $1.13/unit in the latest quarter). 

Management is guiding for 2014 distribution of $3.4/unit -$4/unit (thus far it is beating its guidance), which gives an anticipated yield of 3.9% to 4.6% (5.5% if the current distribution holds). The unit price has been on a tear, up 416% in the last year, and the reason why is clear. Emerge Energy is one of the fastest growing MLPs in one of the fastest growing energy sectors. According to Fastgraphs, analysts are expecting 35.2% CAGR EPS growth over the next decade and distribution growth of 32.7%.

Given the growth potential of this MLP (growth projections normally only seen in tech companies) income investors should keep Emerge Energy in mind for a small initial position (or at least a spot on their watch lists).

Foolish takeaway
Emerge Energy Services represents one of the best ways for income investors to play the ongoing shale fracking boom. The variable nature of the distribution, though less variable than refiners or fertilizer partnerships, will likely create future buying opportunities that will allow patient investors to lock in yields superior to today's 5.1% yield. With the fracking megatrend likely to accelerate in the near-term and remain strong for decades to come, this MLP is one that patient, long-term income investors should consider.

Take advantage of this little-known tax "loophole" with MLPs
Recent tax increases have affected nearly every American taxpayer. But with the right planning, you can take steps to take control of your taxes and potentially even lower your tax bill. In our brand-new special report "The IRS Is Daring You to Make This Investment Now!," you'll learn about the simple strategy to take advantage of a little-known IRS rule. Don't miss out on advice that could help you cut taxes for decades to come. Click here to learn more.

 

Top High Dividend Companies To Invest In Right Now

Saturday, May 17, 2014

Demographics: Now and Later

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For more than three years now a number of economists and market watchers have been stubbornly calling for an inflationary bubble to inflate but, by and large, have been disappointed. While the prices of some assets have been on the rise, so far we haven't experienced widespread inflationary pressures throughout the economy.

Jeffrey Gundlach, who came to fame as a star bond fund manager at TCW Asset Management and went on to found Doubleline Capital, has an interesting theory as to why that may be. With more than $47 billion in assets under management, about 90 percent of which is in fixed-income vehicles, Gundlach has a strong incentive to keep an eye on inflation.

He believes that inflation has failed to materialize, despite the Federal Reserve's best efforts amounting to nearly $3 trillion in cheap cash, largely thanks to demographics. The baby boom generation, one of the largest generations in American history at about 80 million people, has essentially begun aging out of the workforce, with about 18,000 people reaching retirement age each day. By the end of the decade there will more than 14.5 million Americans over the age of 65, making it the largest demographic bulge bracket, and that number will swell to nearly 72 million by 2030 and account for about 20 percent of the population.

Top Up And Coming Companies To Watch In Right Now

As those folks retire, they will live on much lower incomes since their homes are usually paid off, their children are likely to have completed college. There are simply fewer big ticket expenditures for retirees, and if past experience is a guide, their retirement incomes will barely keep pace with even the current low levels of inflation, adding additional deflationary pressure.

Also thanks to that wave of retirements, it is estimated that the America! n workforce will grow by just 0.2 percent annually over the coming decade as compared to annual growth of about 1.2 percent over the prior 10 years. Although there are some signs that wages may begin rising over the next year or so thanks to falling unemployment, incomes have been largely stagnant over the past five years.

Slower workforce growth combined with a growing wave of retirees on a fixed income reduces the velocity of money even as demand growth slows, reducing inflationary pressures on the economy.

When you look at the types of assets which are experiencing pricing pressure, that argument makes a certain amount of sense. For instance, the greatest inflation we've experienced over the past two years has largely been tied to agricultural commodities and foodstuffs. Even when you're retired, you still must eat. Health care costs have also experienced high inflation which, while you can make the case that that is to some degree due to inefficiencies in the system, it is also tied to the growing consumption demand related to an aging population.

But while that demographic argument makes sense today, it will be shifting over the next few years.

Like every other generation the baby boomers grew up and had children before they retired and the generation they begot dwarfs their own. Regardless of whether you call them millennials, echo-boomers or any other name, there were more than 95 million Americans born between 1978 and 2000. While the leading edge of that generation has finished college and had the misfortune of entering the workforce during the recession, the real wave of which will be coming in the next few years.

Already, many millennials are better off than their parents 30 years ago in terms of buying power. For instance, while the generation already carries more debt and faces higher home prices than their parents, their real average incomes are about $2,500 based on census data. While that might now sound like much today, when you consider that that extra! buying p! ower is spread across 95 million people whose wages will (hopefully) only be going up as they age, that's a huge amount of extra demand over the next two to three decades.

So, while you can make a strong demographic argument for why inflation is running at relatively low rates today, that same argument will get turned on its head tomorrow.

Friday, May 16, 2014

3 Stocks Under $10 Moving Higher

DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- At Stockpickr, we track daily portfolios of stocks that are the biggest percentage gainers and the biggest percentage losers.

>>Hedge Funds Hate These 5 Stocks -- Should You?

Stocks that are making large moves like these are favorites among short-term traders because they can jump into these names and try to capture some of that massive volatility. Stocks that are making big-percentage moves either up or down are usually in play because their sector is becoming attractive or they have a major fundamental catalyst such as a recent earnings release. Sometimes stocks making big moves have been hit with an analyst upgrade or an analyst downgrade.

Regardless of the reason behind it, when a stock makes a large-percentage move, it is often just the start of a new major trend -- a trend that can lead to huge profits. If you time your trade correctly, combining technical indicators with fundamental trends, discipline and sound money management, you will be well on your way to investment success.

>>5 Big Stocks to Trade for Gains This Summer

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at a several stocks under $10 that are making large moves to the upside.

Xenoport

Xenoport (XNPT), a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing a portfolio of internally discovered product candidates for the treatment of neurological and other disorders. This stock closed up 3.3% to $3.66 in Thursday's trading session.

Thursday's Range: $3.45-$3.82

52-Week Range: $3.15-$7.20

Thursday's Volume: 647,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 501,428

From a technical perspective, XNPT spiked notably higher here right above some near-term support at $3.25 with above-average volume. This stock has been downtrending badly for the last four months and change, with shares moving lower from its high of $7.20 to its recent 52-week low of $3.15. During that downtrend, shares of XNPT have been consistently making lower highs and lower lows, which is bearish technical price action. That said, shares of XNPT have now started to rebound off that $3.15 low and it's starting to trend within range of triggering a near-term breakout trade. That trade will hit if XNPT manages to take out some key near-term overhead resistance levels at $3.86 to $4 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in XNPT as long as it's trending above support at $3.25 or above its 52-week low of $3.15 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 501,428 shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then XNPT will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $4.25 to $4.50, or even its 50-day moving average of $4.75. Any high-volume move above those levels will then give XNPT a chance to tag $5.24 to its 200-day moving average of $5.34.

Conatus Pharmaceuticals

Conatus Pharmaceuticals (CNAT), a biotechnology company, focuses on the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat liver diseases in the U.S. This stock closed up 4.3% to $5.79 a share in Thursday's trading session.

Thursday's Range: $5.46-$5.85

52-Week Range: $5.06-$15.67

Thursday's Volume: 304,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 436,131

From a technical perspective, CNAT ripped higher here right above its 52-week low of $5.06 with decent upside volume. This stock has been downtrending badly for the last two months and change, with shares moving lower from $13.18 to its 52-week low of $5.06. During that move, shares of CNAT have been consistently making lower highs and lower lows, which is bearish technical price action. That said, shares of CNAT have now started to rebound off its 52-week low of $5.06 and it's now moving within range of triggering a near-term breakout trade. That trade will hit of CNAT manages to take Thursday's high of $5.86 to more resistance at $6 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in CNAT as long as it's trending above its 52-week low of $5.06 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 436,131 shares. If that breakout starts soon, then CNAT will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $6.40 to $6.87. Any high-volume move above those levels will then give CNAT a chance to tag its 50-day moving average of $7.92 to more resistance at $8.10.

Raptor Pharmaceuticals

Raptor Pharmaceuticals (RPTP), a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing life-altering therapeutics that treat debilitating and often fatal diseases. This stock closed up 8.9% to $8.52 a share in Thursday's trading session.

Thursday's Range: $7.73-$8.60

52-Week Range: $5.75-$17.72

Thursday's Volume: 1.02 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 1.22 million

From a technical perspective, RPTP soared higher here right above its recent low of $7.12 with decent upside volume. This sharp spike higher on Thursday pushed shares of RPTP into breakout territory, since the stock took out some near-term overhead resistance levels at $8.18 to $8.44. Shares of RPTP are now moving within range of triggering another near-term breakout trade. That trade will hit if RPTP manages to take out some key near-term overhead resistance levels at $8.63 to $9.09 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in RPTP as long as it's trending above $8 or above Thursday's intraday low of $7.72 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 1.22 million shares. If that breakout begins soon, then RPTP will set up to re-test or possibly take out its 50-day moving average at $9.68 to more near-term overhead resistance levels at $10.50 to $11.

Top Heal Care Companies To Own In Right Now

To see more stocks that are making notable moves higher, check out the Stocks Under $10 Moving Higher portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Roberto Pedone in Delafield, Wis.


RELATED LINKS:



>>3 Stocks Spiking on Unusual Volume



>>5 Hated Earnings Stocks You Should Love



>>5 Stocks Under $10 Set to Soar

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Roberto Pedone, based out of Delafield, Wis., is an independent trader who focuses on technical analysis for small- and large-cap stocks, options, futures, commodities and currencies. Roberto studied international business at the Milwaukee School of Engineering, and he spent a year overseas studying business in Lubeck, Germany. His work has appeared on financial outlets including

CNBC.com and Forbes.com.

You can follow Pedone on Twitter at www.twitter.com/zerosum24 or @zerosum24.


Thursday, May 15, 2014

3 Stocks Rising on Big Volume

DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- Professional traders running mutual funds and hedge funds don't just look at a stock's price moves; they also track big changes in volume activity. Often when above-average volume moves into an equity, it precedes a large spike in volatility.

>>5 Hated Earnings Stocks You Should Love

Major moves in volume can signal unusual activity, such as insider buying or selling -- or buying or selling by "superinvestors."

Unusual volume can also be a major signal that hedge funds and momentum traders are piling into a stock ahead of a catalyst. These types of traders like to get in well before a large spike, so it's always a smart move to monitor unusual volume. That said, remember to combine trend and price action with unusual volume. Put them all together to help you decipher the next big trend for any stock.

>>5 Stocks Insiders Love Right Now

With that in mind, let's take a look at several stocks rising on unusual volume recently.

ChipMOS Technologies

ChipMOS Technologies (IMOS), through its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor testing and assembly services and memory and logic/mixed-signal products. This stock closed up 3% at $22.55 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 517,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 265,734

Volume % Change: 117%

From a technical perspective, IMOS spiked notably higher here right off its 50-day moving average of $22.03 with above-average volume. This stock has been uptrending a bit over the last few weeks, with shares moving higher from its low of $20.08 to its intraday high of $23.20. During that move, shares of IMOS have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. Market players should now look for a continuation move to the upside in the short-term if IMOS manages to take out Wednesday's intraday high of $23.20 to its 52-week high of $24.09 with strong upside volume flows.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in IMOS as long as it's trending above its 50-day at $22.03 or above $21 and then once it sustains a move or close above $23.20 to $24.09 with volume that hits near or above 265,734 shares. If that move gets underway soon, then IMOS will set up to enter new 52-week-high territory above $24.09, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that move are $25 to $30.

Osiris Therapeutics

Osiris Therapeutics (OSIR), a stem cell company, focuses on the development and marketing products to treat medical conditions in wound care, orthopedic and sports medicine markets. This stock closed up 9.1% at $16.37 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 1.06 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 278,990

Volume % Change: 290%

From a technical perspective, OSIR exploded higher here back above its 200-day moving average of $15.63 and into breakout territory above some near-term overhead resistance at $15.76 with heavy upside volume. This stock has been uptrending strong for the last month, with shares moving higher from its low of $11.800 to its intraday high of $16.74. During that uptrend, shares of OSIR have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. Market players should now look for a continuation move to the upside if shares of OSIR manage to take out Wednesday's intraday high of $16.74 with strong volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in OSIR as long as it's trending above its 200-day at $15.63 or above Wednesday's low of $14.62 and then once it sustains a move or close above $16.74 with volume that's near or above 278,990 shares. If that move triggers soon, then OSIR will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $17.50 to $17.60, or even $18.41 to $19.75.

KEYW Holding

KEYW Holding (KEYW), through its subsidiaries, provides mission-critical cybersecurity, cyber superiority and geospatial intelligence solutions to the U.S. Government defense, intelligence and national security agencies, and commercial enterprises. This stock closed up 3% at $10.82 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 1.19 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 578,205

Volume % Change: 145%

From a technical perspective, KEYW spiked higher here right off its 52-week low of $10.08 with above-average volume. This stock has been downtrending badly for the last two months and change, with shares moving lower from its high of $23.09 to its 52-week low of $10.08. During that move, shares of KEYW have been consistently making lower highs and lower lows, which is bearish technical price action. That said, shares of KEYW now look ready to reverse that downtrend and possibly enter a new uptrend since the stock is coming off those levels with volume. Market players should now look for a continuation move to the upside in the short-term if KEYW can manage to clear Wednesday's intraday high of $10.94 to some more near-term overhead resistance at $11.28 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in KEYW as long as it's trending above its 52-week low of $10.08 and then once it sustains a move or close above $10.94 to $11.28 with volume that's near or above 578,205 shares. If that move starts soon, then KEYW will set up to rebound back towards its next major overhead resistance levels at $13.35 to its 200-day moving average of $14.41. Any high-volume move above those levels will then give KEYW a chance to tag its next major overhead resistance levels at $15.20 to its 50-day moving average of $16.26.

10 Best Beverage Stocks For 2015

To see more stocks rising on unusual volume, check out the Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Roberto Pedone in Delafield, Wis.


RELATED LINKS:



>>Hedge Funds Hate These 5 Stocks -- Should You?



>>5 Rocket Stocks to Beat a Sideways Market



>>5 Big Charts Ready to Break Out in May

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Roberto Pedone, based out of Delafield, Wis., is an independent trader who focuses on technical analysis for small- and large-cap stocks, options, futures, commodities and currencies. Roberto studied international business at the Milwaukee School of Engineering, and he spent a year overseas studying business in Lubeck, Germany. His work has appeared on financial outlets including

CNBC.com and Forbes.com. You can follow Pedone on Twitter at www.twitter.com/zerosum24 or @zerosum24.


Wednesday, May 14, 2014

Tesla Motors - The Right Choice for Your Portfolio

The automotive industry is undergoing a lot of developments with people spending a lot on luxury cars. Moreover, the emergence of electric vehicles has been a breakthrough as it leads to lower costs and no use of fuel. In fact, auto sales jumped 5.9% over last year, to 16.1 million units for the month of April.

Therefore, automotive retailers too are enjoying the benefits of growing demand for such expensive cars. One such beneficiary is Tesla Motors (TSLA), which posted its first quarter results recently. The quarterly numbers were ahead of analysts' estimates. However, a lowered guidance sent its share price falling.

By the Numbers

Revenue grew 27% to $713 million over the prior year's quarter, driven by higher sales of the most popular Model S sedans. The Model S sedan has resonated well with customers and is in high demand. Tesla sold a total of 6,457 units of the vehicle during the quarter, much higher than the expectation of 6,400 units. Also, the company produced more Model S cars (7,535) than estimated (7,400).

Even earnings were ahead of expectations, registering $0.12 per share as against the estimate of $0.07 per share. Also, automotive margins improved by 20 basis points over last year. This was despite an increase in the company's R&D expense as well as SG&A expense. The automotive retailer spent more on R&D because it accelerated its efforts to develop the Model X. On the other hand, enhancement of customer support infrastructure pushed SG&A higher.

Path Ahead

Tesla Motors plans to expand its footprint in China since there is strong demand for automobiles in this region. In fact, it also expects to have a production plant in the region, which should benefit the retailer in the future.

Also, the automobile retailer is expected to launch its new Model X next year. Model X is a sports utility vehicle and has the benefits of a minivan. It runs on electricity and caters to premium customers. This launch is delayed by the company which has made investors unhappy. This car will provide stiff competition to BMW's i3 and i8.

Additionally, the company plans to set up a factory to make new generation batteries, called Gigafactory. This will result in lower battery costs. This will help Tesla produce a low cost electric car, if produced in high volumes. Hence, the car retailer will be able to increase volumes of the Model S. Moreover, the company plans to launch another generation three vehicle by the end of 2017. Gigafactory will help in making this vehicle possible at a low cost.

Although Tesla's efforts look good, its outlook failed to please the investors. It revised its guidance downward for fiscal 2014. It now expects to produce a total of 8,500 units to 9,000 units of Model S vehicles in the coming months. In addition, it expects to sell a total of 7,500 Model S cars.

Bottom Line

Tesla Motors has been doing well with decent quarterly numbers. Moreover, auto sales, in general, are expected to increase mainly because of the spring season since people have delayed their purchase mainly because of harsh winter conditions. Also, incentives provided by the automakers, such as discounts and free accessories, will attract customers. Therefore, Tesla Motors looks good to go, especially with the much-awaited launches in the months to come.

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